L'Aquila vs Sporting Trestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
LAQ
11%
20%
69%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LAQ
2 - 0
NUO
60%
24%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
LAQ
12%
21%
68%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
AVE
64%
23%
13%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 2
LAQ
40%
25%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SPO
7 - 0
FOL
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
SAN
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ULD
0 - 1
SPO
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
NUO
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 3
SPO
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |