L'Aquila vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
LAQ
1 - 0
TUT
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
LAQ
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
LAQ
0 - 1
SPA
52%
28%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 2
LAQ
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
LAQ
0 - 1
REG
42%
29%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
ANC
22%
27%
51%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAR
29%
29%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAV
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
REG
1 - 1
SAN
68%
21%
11%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
TUT
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |