L'Aquila vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 1
LAQ
71%
19%
9%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LAQ
0 - 0
PRG
18%
27%
55%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 1
LAQ
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LAQ
2 - 0
SSB
39%
29%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 0
LAQ
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PON
5 - 0
ASC
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LEC
3 - 0
PON
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PON
0 - 0
FCC
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
NOC
0 - 3
PON
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PON
2 - 1
FRO
18%
26%
56%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |