L'Aquila vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
61.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 3
LAQ
84%
12%
4%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FAN
2 - 1
LAQ
48%
27%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LAQ
0 - 1
APR
34%
26%
41%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 4
GAV
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 1
LAQ
73%
18%
8%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PON
0 - 1
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 3
PON
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PON
3 - 0
ARZ
18%
24%
58%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
PON
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PON
2 - 2
DER
65%
21%
13%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |