L'Aquila vs Nuorese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
LAQ
12%
21%
68%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
AVE
64%
23%
13%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 2
LAQ
40%
25%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LAQ
3 - 1
SAN
69%
22%
10%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 1
LAQ
23%
25%
51%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nuorese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
NUO
2 - 2
RIE
34%
27%
40%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
NUO
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
NUO
0 - 0
MON
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
NUO
16%
20%
64%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 0
ULD
57%
22%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |