L'Aquila vs Lupa Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ASL
3 - 1
LAQ
39%
28%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LAQ
2 - 1
RIM
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
SIE
3 - 1
LAQ
70%
20%
10%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LAQ
2 - 0
ACP
34%
30%
36%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
LAQ
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lupa Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LRO
1 - 1
PIS
14%
24%
61%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 0
LRO
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LRO
2 - 1
SAV
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 1
LRO
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LRO
1 - 1
CAR
17%
24%
59%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |