L'Aquila vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
RAA
2 - 0
LAQ
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 0
FCC
68%
20%
13%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 1
LAQ
54%
25%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAQ
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LAQ
0 - 0
ACI
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
0 - 2
ASM
45%
26%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
0 - 1
PAG
26%
28%
47%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ACI
1 - 1
GIU
31%
27%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 2
GIU
39%
26%
35%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GIU
3 - 1
MIL
34%
27%
39%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |