L'Aquila vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
USP
1 - 0
LAQ
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
LAQ
0 - 0
FCC
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
VIN
0 - 0
LAQ
22%
24%
55%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
LAQ
1 - 0
FAN
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
LAQ
2 - 1
CRO
64%
21%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
GAV
2 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
GIU
1 - 0
GAV
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
GAV
1 - 0
ACS
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CRO
2 - 1
GAV
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
GAV
1 - 1
ACP
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |