L'Aquila vs Viareggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
57.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 3
LAQ
84%
12%
4%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LAQ
0 - 1
PIS
11%
22%
67%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LEC
1 - 2
LAQ
89%
9%
2%
|
36 | 72 | 36 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LAQ
0 - 0
ACP
17%
26%
57%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FRO
1 - 0
LAQ
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FCV
0 - 1
PAG
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PON
2 - 2
FCV
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 1
NOC
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 1
FCV
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
USC
3 - 0
FCV
67%
20%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |