L'Aquila vs FC Celano Marsica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
VIN
0 - 0
LAQ
22%
24%
55%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
LAQ
1 - 0
FAN
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
LAQ
2 - 1
CRO
64%
21%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
LAQ
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
LAQ
1 - 0
ACG
67%
20%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
FCC
0 - 1
SAN
23%
24%
52%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
GIU
1 - 1
FCC
63%
23%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
FCC
1 - 3
VIL
42%
26%
32%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FCC
0 - 0
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
GAV
2 - 0
FCC
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |