L'Aquila vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
LAQ
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LAQ
0 - 1
CAM
59%
24%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 2
LAQ
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ASD
51%
26%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 0
TER
29%
26%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BOR
0 - 0
USP
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 1
BOR
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BOR
0 - 0
SAL
14%
21%
65%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 0
FOL
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
APR
0 - 0
BOR
49%
23%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |