L'Aquila vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 5
LAQ
53%
25%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 1
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 0
LAQ
43%
27%
31%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 1
FOL
14%
21%
66%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 4
LAQ
73%
18%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
ARZ
54%
23%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FON
1 - 1
ASM
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 0
RAA
56%
24%
20%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
ASM
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 1
GAV
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |