L'Aquila vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
43.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PON
1 - 2
LAQ
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ARZ
40%
30%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
PIS
3 - 1
LAQ
30%
26%
43%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
LAQ
2 - 1
LRO
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ASL
3 - 1
LAQ
39%
28%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ANC
2 - 0
PIS
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ANC
3 - 2
ACP
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TER
1 - 0
ANC
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ANC
0 - 2
SIE
23%
26%
52%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
RIM
2 - 2
ANC
21%
27%
52%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |