L'Aquila vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 2
LAQ
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
LAQ
0 - 1
PIA
64%
22%
13%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 2
LAQ
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LAQ
2 - 0
PIS
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LAQ
1 - 0
SAV
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
ANC
2 - 1
ASC
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
PIS
2 - 1
ANC
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
ANC
2 - 2
ASL
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ACP
2 - 3
ANC
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ANC
2 - 4
ASG
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |