Kwun Tong vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
68.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kwun Tong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
LUC
2 - 1
KWU
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
KWU
1 - 0
DOU
29%
22%
50%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MGS
1 - 2
KWU
73%
15%
11%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
KWU
1 - 1
WTP
8%
16%
76%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
KWU
0 - 0
CAA
10%
18%
72%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
TCS
2 - 3
CAA
24%
22%
54%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAA
2 - 3
HON
32%
24%
45%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
KWA
1 - 1
CAA
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAA
1 - 2
YTS
56%
22%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
KWU
0 - 0
CAA
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | -1 |