Kwun Tong vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kwun Tong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TMS
1 - 4
KWU
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
KWU
0 - 1
TCS
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -3 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
KWU
0 - 0
HVA
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
WAN
2 - 2
KWU
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HON
8 - 2
KWU
86%
9%
4%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SHA
3 - 3
CAA
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAA
1 - 1
MGS
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAA
3 - 2
KWA
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SHS
1 - 6
CAA
48%
23%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAA
1 - 2
YTS
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -2 |