KVV Duffel vs Excelsior Kaart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
72.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KVV Duffel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
VCH
5 - 1
DUF
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
HOU
4 - 1
DUF
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
DUF
0 - 5
GRK
9%
16%
76%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ANT
5 - 3
DUF
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
DUF
0 - 1
WIT
13%
19%
69%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Kaart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
KAA
1 - 1
HOU
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GRK
1 - 1
KAA
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
KAA
0 - 0
ANT
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
WIT
3 - 4
KAA
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
KAA
0 - 0
ZWI
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |