Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 3-2
KuPS Kuopio vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KuPS Kuopio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
KUO
1 - 0
FFJ
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
TPS
3 - 0
KUO
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
KUO
2 - 0
IFK
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
KUO
1 - 2
FCL
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2012 |
JJK
1 - 5
KUO
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NEA
1 - 5
LLA
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LLA
3 - 2
PRE
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
LLA
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TNS
1 - 1
LLA
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 2
LLA
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |