Kukësi vs Vllaznia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
43.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
10º
10º
59
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
KUK
1 - 0
LAÇ
38%
30%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
KUK
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 0
KUK
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
KUK
1 - 2
ERZ
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
KUK
0 - 1
PAR
20%
23%
58%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
KFS
0 - 1
VLZ
30%
30%
40%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VLZ
6 - 1
ERZ
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VLZ
3 - 1
TIR
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 1
VLZ
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
ERZ
2 - 1
VLZ
27%
26%
48%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |