UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 0-3
Kukësi vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 1
KUK
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
KUK
0 - 0
VAL
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
KUK
0 - 4
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
KUK
2 - 2
FLA
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
VLZ
2 - 1
KUK
21%
27%
52%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
QAR
0 - 0
OLI
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 1
QAR
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
DYN
1 - 0
QAR
75%
17%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 0
QAR
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
FKQ
0 - 1
QAR
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |