Kukësi vs Kastrioti Krujë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
5º
10º
7º
35
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
VLZ
2 - 0
KUK
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
KUK
5 - 0
APO
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
KUK
2 - 0
TIR
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
EGN
1 - 2
KUK
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
KUK
0 - 2
ERZ
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kastrioti Krujë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
KRU
2 - 2
ERZ
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
KRU
0 - 0
DIN
56%
23%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BYL
1 - 0
KRU
46%
27%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
LAÇ
4 - 1
KRU
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
KRU
1 - 1
PAR
20%
27%
53%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |