Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 4-5
Kukësi vs Torpedo Kutaisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
FTK
5 - 2
KUK
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
QAR
3 - 0
KUK
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
KUK
0 - 0
QAR
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 1
KUK
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
KUK
0 - 0
VAL
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Torpedo Kutaisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
FTK
5 - 2
KUK
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
VIK
0 - 4
FTK
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
FTK
3 - 0
VIK
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
SHF
3 - 0
FTK
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
FTK
2 - 1
SHF
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |