Kukësi vs Erzeni Shijak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
5º
10º
7º
40
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
BYL
1 - 1
KUK
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
KUK
3 - 0
LAÇ
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 1
KUK
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
KUK
0 - 0
TEU
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
KRU
1 - 0
KUK
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
EGN
3 - 2
ERZ
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
ERZ
1 - 2
BYL
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LAÇ
1 - 1
ERZ
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ERZ
1 - 2
PAR
21%
27%
53%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TEU
2 - 0
ERZ
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |