Kubrat vs Ludogorets III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.8%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
83.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
13%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12.1%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
12º
16º
16º
61
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 98.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
97.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kubrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FKR
3 - 1
KUB
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KUB
0 - 3
BIS
51%
22%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
KUB
0 - 3
CHE
5%
14%
82%
|
11 | 50 | 39 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SVE
3 - 0
KUB
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
KUB
0 - 3
SEP
7%
17%
76%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LUD
6 - 1
SEP
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 0
LUD
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
LUD
3 - 1
SEP
42%
25%
32%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +3 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CMV
1 - 0
LUD
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 3
CHE
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |