BWO vs De Zweef analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
56.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BWO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FCW
3 - 3
KSV
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
KSV
3 - 4
RKZ
8%
14%
79%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
De Zweef
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
DEZ
3 - 3
STE
52%
23%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
HEI
1 - 0
DEZ
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TUB
2 - 1
DEZ
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
DEZ
0 - 0
ROH
17%
21%
62%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
LON
1 - 1
DEZ
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |