Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 1-5
Górnik Zabrze vs Trenčín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
GÓR
1 - 1
KOR
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
ZAR
1 - 1
GÓR
21%
22%
57%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
GÓR
1 - 0
ZAR
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
GÓR
1 - 3
GKS
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
GÓR
2 - 1
OPA
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Trenčín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
NIT
2 - 1
TRE
21%
23%
56%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 1
BUD
82%
12%
6%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
BUD
0 - 2
TRE
18%
20%
63%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
FCR
1 - 1
TRE
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
BOH
5 - 1
TRE
24%
23%
52%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |