Devolli vs Tepelena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devolli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
DOM
2 - 1
DEV
37%
22%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PER
4 - 0
DEV
18%
20%
61%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
DEV
2 - 3
NAF
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
BUT
2 - 1
DEV
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
DEV
2 - 1
DEL
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tepelena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TEP
2 - 0
KEL
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
TEP
1 - 1
MEM
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
SKR
0 - 2
TEP
22%
21%
57%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TEP
3 - 0
MAL
40%
22%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +3 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
DOM
4 - 1
TEP
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |