Devolli vs Shkumbini Peqin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
9º
5º
26
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devolli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ELB
0 - 0
DEV
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
LAÇ
5 - 0
DEV
83%
13%
4%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DEV
5 - 2
ALB
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
POG
2 - 1
DEV
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
DEV
0 - 2
LAÇ
14%
24%
62%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Shkumbini Peqin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 3
SHK
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
EGN
3 - 0
SHK
76%
17%
7%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 0
MEM
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BUT
3 - 0
SHK
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 3
EGN
10%
19%
71%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | 0 |