Devolli vs Pogradeci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devolli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
DEV
4 - 1
TEP
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 4
DEV
13%
22%
65%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
DEV
4 - 1
MEM
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
TFC
0 - 3
DEV
11%
20%
69%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
DEV
1 - 0
ALB
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
TOM
2 - 3
POG
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
POG
3 - 0
APO
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
TUR
2 - 0
POG
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
POG
0 - 1
ELB
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
POG
2 - 1
TOM
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |