Devolli vs Këlcyra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devolli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 0
DEV
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
4 - 0
DEV
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 2
LUF
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DEL
1 - 2
DEV
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
POG
3 - 1
DEV
74%
16%
9%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Këlcyra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KEL
0 - 4
DEL
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LFC
4 - 0
KEL
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KEL
1 - 2
BUT
15%
20%
65%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
POG
3 - 1
KEL
87%
9%
3%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NAF
4 - 2
KEL
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |