SC Kriens vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Kriens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
STG
3 - 2
KRI
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FCE
0 - 9
KRI
10%
17%
73%
|
51 | 16 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 0
KRI
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
KRI
7 - 1
SCB
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
FCV
3 - 0
KRI
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 3
BIE
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
UZU
1 - 5
LUG
12%
17%
71%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 2
LUG
27%
25%
49%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
STA
3 - 2
LUG
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
DEL
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |