Kremser SC vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
82%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kremser SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
SVH
1 - 6
KRE
10%
17%
73%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KRE
2 - 0
VOR
30%
23%
47%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
KRE
0 - 1
SVH
16%
19%
65%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
KRE
2 - 1
VIE
12%
18%
70%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
KRE
1 - 1
LEO
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
STR
0 - 2
FCP
22%
24%
54%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
MON
16%
20%
64%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
MID
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
STR
1 - 4
RYV
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
STR
0 - 3
DOM
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |