Jong Genk vs Daring Brussels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
49.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
16º
16º
57
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 63 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 46 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
13º
|
69% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 24 |
14º
|
90.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 20 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
|
15º
|
14 | 15 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 43.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 56.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WAA
3 - 2
KRC
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KRC
1 - 2
FBO
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KRC
4 - 1
LIE
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SER
0 - 2
KRC
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KRC
4 - 0
OHL
74%
15%
10%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Daring Brussels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RWD
3 - 0
KSK
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RWD
5 - 0
AYW
88%
10%
3%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RWD
2 - 1
EUP
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LOM
0 - 2
RWD
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RWD
1 - 1
PAT
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |