Jong Genk vs Lommel SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
43.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
16º
16º
29
4º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 63 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 46 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
13º
|
69% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 24 |
14º
|
90.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 20 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
|
15º
|
14 | 15 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DEI
1 - 0
KRC
74%
15%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KRC
1 - 0
RSC
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
EUP
3 - 1
KRC
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KRC
0 - 3
RWD
28%
23%
49%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WAA
3 - 2
KRC
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lommel SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LOM
1 - 1
EUP
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 1
LOM
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LOM
1 - 1
KSK
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
LOM
2 - 1
RSC
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FBO
1 - 3
LOM
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |