Jong Genk vs Lommel SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
6º
6º
49
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
40 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
STL
0 - 0
KRC
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
KRC
0 - 4
DEN
53%
26%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 0
KRC
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
KRC
1 - 1
EXC
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LOM
2 - 0
KRC
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lommel SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
LOM
4 - 1
DEI
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 1
LOM
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LOM
1 - 2
EXC
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
KVM
0 - 4
LOM
56%
21%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DEI
1 - 1
LOM
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |