Jong Genk vs Lierse Kempenzonen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
16º
16º
40
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 63 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 46 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
13º
|
69% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 24 |
14º
|
90.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 20 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
|
15º
|
14 | 15 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 83% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
3 - 1
KRC
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LOM
2 - 0
KRC
56%
26%
19%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
KRC
0 - 1
LOU
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
BRG
3 - 0
KRC
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
KRC
1 - 2
KSC
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lierse Kempenzonen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
KSK
1 - 0
PAT
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
KSK
0 - 1
WAA
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
KSK
0 - 2
AAA
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
LOU
2 - 1
KSK
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
KSK
3 - 1
RSC
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |