Jong Genk vs Sporting Lokeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
16º
16º
41
8º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 63 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 46 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
13º
|
69% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 24 |
14º
|
90.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 20 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
|
15º
|
14 | 15 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
ZUL
3 - 1
KRC
82%
12%
7%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
KRC
0 - 0
EUP
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PAT
1 - 0
KRC
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
KRC
3 - 3
WAA
21%
22%
57%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
RSC
4 - 1
KRC
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
KSC
2 - 1
BRG
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
FBO
1 - 2
KSC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
KSC
0 - 5
LOU
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
KSC
0 - 0
EUP
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
KSC
1 - 1
KSK
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |