Kray vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
69.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
16º
20º
20º
58
2º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 79 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
74 | 74 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
73 | 73 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
72 | 72 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
61 | 61 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
59 | 59 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
58 | 58 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
56 | 56 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
56 | 56 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
55 | 55 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
52 | 52 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
52 | 52 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
52 | 52 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
50 | 50 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
19º
|
29 | 29 |
19º
|
0% | |
|
|
20º
|
25 | 25 |
20º
|
100% | |
|
21º
|
18 | 18 |
21º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TDV
6 - 1
KRA
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
KRA
5 - 0
FSV
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 0
KRA
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KRA
3 - 6
SON
16%
20%
64%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
KRA
1 - 3
CRO
36%
21%
43%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SFB
3 - 1
1FC
52%
21%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
KLE
2 - 1
SFB
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
SFB
4 - 0
DUS
63%
19%
19%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HIL
1 - 0
SFB
63%
18%
18%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SFB
1 - 3
SWE
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |