Kray vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
60.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KRA
0 - 2
WEG
57%
22%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
S04
2 - 0
KRA
63%
22%
16%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 1
KRA
73%
17%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
RWA
2 - 1
KRA
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KRA
2 - 4
ERN
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
AAA
1 - 0
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ROT
3 - 2
AAA
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
S04
0 - 1
AAA
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
AAA
2 - 3
VEL
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
WEG
2 - 2
AAA
18%
23%
60%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |