Krarup/Espe SG & I vs Aarup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
62.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
AAR
2 - 2
SCE
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 3
AAR
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
NAE
1 - 1
AAR
45%
23%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
AAR
4 - 1
DOL
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
HED
3 - 1
AAR
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |