UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 0-5
KR Reykjavík vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KR Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
THO
2 - 0
KRR
21%
24%
55%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 2
KRR
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
KRR
2 - 0
VIK
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
IBV
2 - 3
KRR
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2014 |
KRR
4 - 2
FJO
77%
15%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 0
DUK
66%
19%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2014 |
LAS
2 - 5
CEL
21%
22%
57%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
RAP
1 - 1
CEL
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
CEL
3 - 1
KRA
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CEL
3 - 1
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |