Legia Warszawa vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
ZRI
1 - 1
WAR
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 4
LPO
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 5
WAR
8%
17%
76%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 1
DTB
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
WAR
0 - 1
AEK
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 0
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
VAN
2 - 0
JAG
6%
12%
82%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
KOR
1 - 3
JAG
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 1
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
WIS
1 - 0
JAG
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -2 |