UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 1-2
Legia Warszawa vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
WAR
1 - 3
ZAL
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
WAR
3 - 0
CAO
52%
24%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
WAR
2 - 3
ARK
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
CAO
0 - 1
WAR
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
WAR
0 - 0
RAD
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SEN
1 - 0
TNV
22%
27%
51%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
ZRI
1 - 1
TNV
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
TNV
1 - 0
ZRI
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
TNV
0 - 1
BAN
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
TNV
0 - 3
SIG
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |