Legia Warszawa vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
KOR
0 - 0
WAR
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
WAR
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 3
JAG
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SLA
1 - 1
WAR
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
DBU
2 - 4
WAR
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 1
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
WAR
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
4 - 2
TWE
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
21%
23%
57%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 1
AZA
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |