UCL 1/16
Global 1-3
Legia Warszawa vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
16.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1960 |
AGF
3 - 0
WAR
50%
21%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1956 |
WAR
2 - 0
SBR
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1956 |
SBR
4 - 0
WAR
54%
20%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1928 |
CLO
0 - 1
WAR
39%
20%
41%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1928 |
WAR
3 - 0
POL
69%
15%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1960 |
AGF
3 - 0
WAR
50%
21%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1957 |
AGF
2 - 0
SEV
39%
23%
39%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1957 |
SEV
4 - 0
AGF
78%
13%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1957 |
GLE
0 - 3
AGF
45%
21%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
AGF
0 - 0
GLE
60%
18%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |