AEP Kozani vs Tilikratis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEP Kozani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DOX
0 - 1
KOZ
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
KOZ
2 - 0
KER
77%
15%
9%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
KOZ
1 - 1
AGI
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
KAS
1 - 2
KOZ
16%
21%
63%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
KOZ
3 - 0
THE
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tilikratis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TIL
0 - 3
OIK
12%
19%
68%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LAR
3 - 0
TIL
84%
12%
5%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
TIL
0 - 3
KAM
13%
19%
67%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PYR
3 - 0
TIL
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
DOX
3 - 0
TIL
76%
16%
9%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |