Kottern vs TuS Geretsried analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
3º
15º
6º
1
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
3 | 63 |
1º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 62 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 62 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 61 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 59 |
5º
|
7% | |
|
|
7º
|
3 | 55 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 53 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 51 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 45 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 36 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 31 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 26 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
4 | 24 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 17 |
17º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 91.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
TUR
0 - 1
KOT
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
KOT
1 - 4
186
39%
25%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
KOT
0 - 6
HOM
17%
20%
64%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FCP
0 - 2
KOT
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
KOT
2 - 0
TUR
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
TuS Geretsried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
TUS
1 - 1
ISM
18%
20%
62%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
TAM
4 - 2
TUS
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NFH
0 - 3
TUS
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TUS
2 - 2
PUL
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TUS
3 - 1
SPV
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |