Kottern vs Bogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HAH
3 - 1
KOT
52%
22%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
KOT
2 - 1
LAN
58%
20%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
JRE
2 - 1
KOT
42%
22%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
FCG
1 - 6
KOT
51%
21%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
KOT
4 - 1
HEI
23%
20%
57%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 3
BOG
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 1
FCP
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 2
BOG
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 1
SON
27%
25%
48%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
BOG
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |