Kose vs Vaprus Pärnu II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
77.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PAI
4 - 0
KOS
95%
5%
1%
|
15 | 53 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KOS
1 - 2
AJA
39%
21%
41%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
KOS
1 - 0
VAN
7%
13%
80%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | +5 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
KOS
0 - 2
HLA
7%
12%
81%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SJL
3 - 1
KOS
92%
6%
2%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 2
HII
45%
21%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PIR
0 - 8
PAR
18%
19%
63%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 3
NOU
53%
21%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SJL
3 - 1
PAR
30%
20%
50%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 0
TAB
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |