Kose vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.1%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
85.8%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
14%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
19.3%
0-4
9.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12.8%
0-5
5.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
KEI
2 - 2
KOS
83%
11%
7%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
KOS
3 - 2
FLO
10%
16%
74%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | +3 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
VAN
4 - 1
KOS
93%
5%
2%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
HLA
2 - 0
KOS
90%
8%
3%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
KEI
6 - 1
KOS
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
PAI
2 - 1
PAR
89%
8%
3%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
PAI
2 - 2
JKT
40%
21%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
PIR
0 - 4
PAI
5%
11%
84%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
PAI
3 - 1
NOU
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SJL
0 - 5
PAI
8%
14%
78%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |